What is a dollar revaluation?

A dollar revaluation occurs when the government officially changes the dollar's value relative to gold or other assets. Historically, in 1934, the US revalued gold from $20.67 to $35 per ounce, effectively devaluing the dollar by 41%.

How would a dollar revaluation affect my savings?

While your bank balance would remain the same numerically, the purchasing power of those dollars could decrease significantly. If gold were revalued to back current debt levels, the cost of goods and services would theoretically rise to match the new monetary standard.

What indicators suggest a dollar revaluation might occur?

Key indicators include: record central bank gold purchases, rising debt-to-GDP ratios, BRICS currency development, digital price infrastructure deployment, and gold reaching new price highs. Our Risk Index tracks these factors in real-time.

Has the US dollar been revalued before?

Yes. In 1934, President Roosevelt revalued gold from $20.67 to $35 per ounce under the Gold Reserve Act. In 1971, President Nixon ended dollar-gold convertibility (the 'Nixon Shock'), fundamentally changing the global monetary system.

Dollar Revaluation Tracker

Transparency & Methodology

How We Calculate the Risk Indicator

Our Economic Indicator Tracker aggregates publicly available data from government agencies and financial institutions. This page explains our methodology for educational transparency.

What Is This Indicator?

The Economic Indicator Tracker is a composite score (0-100) that aggregates nine publicly available economic data points related to U.S. fiscal policy, monetary conditions, and global financial trends. It is designed for educational observation only and does not predict future events or constitute financial advice.

Data Sources

1. US Debt Level (Weight: 14%)

National debt exceeds $38.5 trillion, with interest payments surpassing the defense budget. Approximately $9-10 trillion matures in 2026.

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, TreasuryDirect.gov

2. 2026 Debt Refinancing (Weight: 16%)

$9-10 trillion in debt matures in 2026, requiring refinancing at current rates (4-5%) versus original rates (0.5-2%).

Source: Congressional Budget Office (CBO), U.S. Treasury

3. Interest Payment Spiral (Weight: 16%)

2026 interest payments projected at $1.3+ trillion, exceeding the defense budget. Government is borrowing to pay interest on existing debt.

Source: Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

4. Gold Price Trend (Weight: 10%)

Gold spiked to $5,500 then corrected to $5,075 (-8.5%). Extreme volatility signals potential systemic instability.

Source: Kitco.com, GoldPrice.org (January 30, 2026)

5. Central Bank Gold Buying (Weight: 12%)

China has extended gold buying to 14 consecutive months (254 tons year-to-date). BRICS nations collectively hold 6,000+ tons, targeting 65-70% of global reserves.

Source: World Gold Council, Seeking Alpha

6. Fed Independence Risk (Weight: 10%)

DOJ subpoenas against Federal Reserve Chair Powell raise unprecedented concerns about monetary policy autonomy.

Source: Federal Reserve Statement (January 11, 2026)

7. De-Dollarization Pace (Weight: 8%)

Dollar's share of global reserves at 58%. Temporary dollar strength amid volatility, but structural de-dollarization trend remains intact.

Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF), Reuters

8. BRICS Currency Progress (Weight: 8%)

BRICS nations plan to launch a gold-backed digital currency in 2026. Infrastructure for local currency trade was agreed upon at the 2025 summit.

Source: BRICS Summit 2025, Financial Times

9. State Sound Money Laws (Weight: 6%)

Florida recognizes gold and silver as legal tender (effective July 2026). Eleven states now have sound money legislation.

Source: Florida HB 999, Sound Money Defense League

Calculation Method

Step 1: Individual Factor Scoring

Each of the nine factors is assigned a score from 0 to 100 based on publicly available data. Higher scores indicate higher observed activity levels in that specific area.

Step 2: Weighted Aggregation

Each factor is multiplied by its assigned weight (reflecting relative importance based on economic research and historical precedent). The weights are:

US Debt Level: 14%
2026 Debt Refinancing: 16%
Interest Payment Spiral: 16%
Gold Price Trend: 10%
Central Bank Buying: 12%
Fed Independence Risk: 10%
De-Dollarization Pace: 8%
BRICS Currency Progress: 8%
State Sound Money Laws: 6%

Note: 2026-specific factors (debt refinancing, interest payments) receive higher weights due to their immediate relevance.

Step 3: Final Score

The weighted scores are summed and rounded to produce a final composite score from 0 to 100. This score is then mapped to a descriptive activity level:

0-29: Low Activity
30-49: Moderate Activity
50-69: Elevated Activity
70-84: Elevated Activity (current range)
85-100: Very High Activity

Important Disclaimers

1. Not Predictive: This indicator does not predict future events. It is a snapshot of current publicly available data for educational observation only.

2. Not Financial Advice: This tracker does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Always consult qualified professionals before making financial decisions.

3. Subjective Weighting: The weights assigned to each factor reflect our editorial judgment based on economic research. Other analysts may assign different weights.

4. Data Lag: Some data sources update monthly or quarterly. The indicator reflects the most recently available data at the time of update.

5. Educational Purpose: This tool is designed to help readers understand how various economic indicators can be aggregated for research purposes. It is not a recommendation to take any specific action.

Update Frequency

The Economic Indicator Tracker is updated monthly to reflect the latest available data from our sources. The last update was January 2026. Updates are announced on our blog and via our newsletter.